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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarkets are more willing to see China as a 'glass half full story': StrategistWinnie Wu, chief China equity strategist at BofA Securities, says, however, that a "fundamental turnaround will be quite [a] long-term story."
Persons: Winnie Wu Organizations: BofA Securities Locations: China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChinese consumer downgrade trend continuing despite strong lunar new year data, says analystWinnie Wu, China equity strategist at BofA Securities, weighs in on which parts of the Chinese economy are seeing a pick up after the lunar new year.
Persons: Winnie Wu Organizations: BofA Securities Locations: China
But this week, China embarked on monetary easing as it pledged to reduce the amount of liquidity that its banks are required to hold as reserves. Earlier this week, Bloomberg News, citing sources, reported that China is considering a $278 billion package to rescue its stock markets. Andrew Lapping, chief investment officer at Ranmore Fund Management , says the sharp decline in China markets is an "opportunity." "So the stock market is certainly putting much higher equity risk premium ... there are also concerns about policy direction, policy clarity ... Renewable energy: China Longyuan Power Group, China Resources Power.
Persons: Brendan Ahern, CNBC's, Andrew, Winnie Wu, Guy Spier, CNBC's Tanvir Gill, , Wu, what's, Ahern, Amundi, It's, Morgan Stanley, Michael Bloom, Evelyn Cheng Organizations: Bloomberg, Investors, Ranmore Fund Management, BofA Securities, CCP, JPMorgan, EV, UBS, Baidu, China Communications, China Construction Bank, Ping An Insurance, China Longyuan Power Group, China Resources Power Locations: China, United States, Industrials
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina needs to convince investors what will be the next growth driver after property: BofAWinnie Wu, Bank of America's chief China equity strategist, says questions will have to be raised about whether such a driver will be big enough to boost employment and gross domestic product growth.
Persons: Winnie Wu Organizations: China, Bank of America's Locations: China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBank of America and KraneShares strategists discuss the impact of China's PBOC easing on its marketsWinnie Wu, Bank of America's chief China equity strategist, says recent policy measures to stabilize the stock market help put a floor "to stop some of this capitulation," but a "fundamental turnaround" will be needed if investors are to return to the Chinese market.
Persons: Wu Organizations: Email Bank of America, Bank of America's Locations: China
Starting Feb. 5, the People's Bank of China will allow banks to hold smaller cash reserves, central bank governor Pan Gongsheng said at a press conference, his first in the role. Cutting the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) by 50 basis points is set to release 1 trillion yuan ($139.8 billion) in long-term capital, the central bank said. A 2 trillion yuan boost? Chinese Premier Li Qiang on Monday called for much stronger measures to boost market stability and confidence, according to an official readout. Chinese authorities in October already announced the issuance of 1 trillion yuan in government bonds, alongside a rare increase in the deficit.
Persons: Gongsheng, Pan Gongsheng, Tao Wang, Ting Lu, a, Lu, Wang, Stocks, Winnie Wu, That's, Li Qiang, Pan, Philip Yin, David Chao, Pan's Organizations: People's Bank of China, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Financial, Getty, Visual China, People's Bank of, UBS Investment Bank, Wednesday, National Financial Regulatory Administration, UBS, Bank of America's, Bloomberg, PBOC, Citi, U.S, Asia Pacific, CNBC Locations: BEIJING, CHINA, Beijing, China, People's Bank of China, Asia, Hong Kong, capitulating, Japan, Invesco
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina investors willing to trade the short term can use a 'buy on dip' strategy next 2-3 weeks: BofAWinnie Wu, a China equity strategist at BofA Securities, discusses short- to medium-term strategies that investors in China can use in light of the country's economic uncertainty.
Persons: Winnie Wu Organizations: China, BofA Securities Locations: China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSequential stablization in China data key for improvement in market sentiment: Bank of AmericaPolicy support will be needed if there is a continual downward spiral in China's economic data, says Winnie Wu, Bank of America's chief China equity strategist.
Persons: Winnie Wu Organizations: Bank of America, Bank of America's Locations: China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina has the potential to be a 'powerful competitor' in artificial intelligence, BofA saysWinnie Wu, chief China equity strategist at the investment bank, discusses the "massive challenges" that the country faces in the development of artificial intelligence as well as its vast potential for growth in the area.
Persons: Winnie Wu Organizations: China Locations: China
YANGZHOU, CHINA - MAY 02: Aerial view of tourists visiting the Dongguan street during the May Day holiday on May 2, 2023. China's economic data for April broadly missed expectations as the economy continued to show an uneven path of recovery from the impact of its stringent Covid restrictions. Industrial production for April rose by 5.6% year-on-year, compared to the 10.9% expected by economists surveyed in a Reuters poll. "It's not good enough to meet with investors' expectations – that's a problem," Wu said, adding that the momentum from China's pent-up demand seems to be fading away. "The recovery of income, of job security, and confidence will take time," she said.
It is unlikely to be resolved quickly even if the markets keep rallying and China economy keeps global growth ticking. Data paints a murky picture, but supports brokers' analysis that the bid from long-only money managers is absent. Allocation analysis from data firm EPFR shows a broad downtrend, especially to U.S.-domiciled China funds. EPFR figures show allocation to China funds outside the U.S. has increased for two years and mainland markets' recent performance has also been encouraging. "Our reservations about China's long-term investment prospects are based on our outlook for returns to capital."
Signs of recovery may be emerging in China's luxury and consumer discretionary goods sectors, said an analyst from Bank of America, even as China released data showing consumer inflation at an 18-month low. "In terms of luxury high-end [consumption] — we're seeing quite strong recovery," said the bank's chief China equity strategist Winnie Wu. "On the lower end, the bubble tea, the Shabu Shabu, those hotpots — we're seeing good recovery." China's luxury market fell 10% in 2022, declining for the first time in five years, according to Bain & Company. Wu, however, maintained that a good overall recovery across China's consumer sector has yet to be seen.
China is an important luxury market. Bain expects these consumers will account for 46% of the global luxury market by 2025. However, Wu's comments echoed Bain's positive outlook for China's luxury market. China's consumer price index, or CPI — the monthly change in prices paid by consumers — showed bleak data for March. It could be the reason Bank of America's Wu told CNBC that strong recovery across China's consumer sector has not yet been seen.
Retail sales in China aren't good enough, strategist says
  + stars: | 2023-04-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRetail sales in China aren't good enough, strategist saysWinnie Wu of BofA Securities, however, says China's luxury market and hotpot restaurants have had good recovery.
But retail investors are haunted by the regulatory purges, volatility and losses since 2021. With 212 million retail investors, equal to Brazil's population, the conservatism of China's retail army has implications for the viability of the rally. Individual retail investor transactions accounted for about 60% of the total A-shares turnover in late 2022, China Securities Regulatory Commission Chairman Yi Huiman said in November. But data shows barely any investor accounts being opened and the margin financing that retail investors typically use has plateaued. Retail investors are waiting for clearer policy signals, said Lei Meng, China equities strategist at UBS Securities.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChinese consumption-related stocks could do 'better than expected' from reopening, strategist saysWinnie Wu of BofA Securities says given the rapid pace of Covid infections and a potential peak following China's reopening, many consumption-related themes may do better than expected when it comes to earnings.
Over the past week, a host of Wall Street banks have turned increasingly bullish on the world's second-largest economy and have upgraded their outlook on Chinese stocks. Morgan Stanley expects China's GDP to grow by an "above-consensus" 5.4% in 2023, on the back of a "fast-tracked" reopening and more proactive policy easing. Meanwhile, UBS says Chinese stocks look increasingly attractive. How to play the reopening Against this backdrop, analysts have named a slew of both Chinese and global stocks they think will benefit most from China's reopening. Bank of America's domestic reopening beneficiaries include consumer stocks such as alcoholic beverage makers Kweichow Moutai and Tsingtao Brew , airline stocks including China Southern Airlines , as well as online travel platform Trip.com .
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) rose 2.0% to a five-month top, with South Korean shares (.KS11) gaining 2.2%. Japan's Nikkei (.N225) was closed for a holiday but futures were trading at 26,215, compared with a cash close on Friday of 25,973. Earnings season kicks off this week with the major U.S. banks, with the Street fearing no year-on-year growth at all in overall earnings. "China reopening is one upside risk to 2023 EPS, but margin pressures, taxes, and recession present greater downside risks." Fed fund futures now imply around a 25% chance of a half-point hike in February, down from around 50% a month ago.
Asia shares rise on U.S. rate bets, China reopening
  + stars: | 2023-01-09 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) rose 1.5% to a five-month top, with South Korean shares (.KS11) gaining 2.1%. S&P 500 futures added 0.2% and Nasdaq futures 0.3%. EUROSTOXX 50 futures added 0.5%, while FTSE futures firmed 0.4%. "China reopening is one upside risk to 2023 EPS, but margin pressures, taxes, and recession present greater downside risks." The market scaled back bets on rate hikes for the Federal Reserve.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestor confidence in China should improve in the next 12-18 months, strategist saysWinnie Wu of BofA Securities discusses the prospect of China's full reopening and a "cyclical upturn" that is likely to follow.
Goldman Sachs forecasts 16% index returns for MSCI China (.dMICN00000PUS) and CSI300 (.CSI300) next year and recommends an overweight allocation to China, while J.P.Morgan expects a 10% potential upside in MSCI China in 2023. Morgan Stanley upgraded its recommendation to overweight on Monday with an increase in exposure to consumer stocks as reopening prospects improve. Bank of America Securities turned bullish in November, with its China equity strategist, Winnie Wu picking internet and financial stocks to lead the short-term rebound. "We have experienced several rounds of policy back and forth in 2022," she added, referring to both COVID and property policies. UBS Global Wealth Management recommends a market-neutral allocation to Chinese stocks.
Investors should avoid 'crowded' Chinese stocks, says strategist
  + stars: | 2022-11-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors should avoid 'crowded' Chinese stocks, says strategistWinnie Wu of BofA Securities says investors should avoid buying Chinese stocks that are "well owned" by foreigners.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina's GDP growth should turn around by the second quarter of 2023, says strategistWinnie Wu of BofA Securities discusses investors' concerns about the Chinese market.
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